← 1/11 PTM Regional in TGCShuffle
Fire SuzakuTier 2
at 1/11 PTM Regional in TGCShuffle
decks
3
(4.1% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
21
9-12-0
overall winrate
42.9%
ELO-adjusted winrate
48.0%
avg ELO -0.7 per match
expected value
50.2%
share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
50.8%
share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill ↓ low
mean ELO 1219
· median 1212
· range 1152–1292
(3 pilots with an ELO rating)
1025
Q1 1213
Q3 1409
1619
0% of pilots are in the field's top quartile,
67% in the bottom.
This deck is favored by lower-rated players — its raw winrate may understate how good it is.
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wind Seiryuu | 13.5% | 2 | 1-1-0 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 50.2% | +0.1 |
| Wind Shadowstrike | 10.8% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Aetherwing | 8.1% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 54.5% | +7.2 |
| Fire Crux Mage | 5.4% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 42.8% | -11.4 |
| Fire Umbra Guardian | 5.4% | 3 | 2-1-0 | 66.7% | 57.1% | 66.8% | +12.5 |
| Water Fractal | 4.1% | 4 | 2-2-0 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 52.0% | +1.3 |
| Wind Astra Cleric | 4.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Crux Lorraine | 2.7% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Firebloom Burn | 2.7% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 39.8% | -16.4 |
| Fire Luxem Assassin | 2.7% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 59.3% | +15.0 |
| Fire Oblation | 2.7% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Suited | 2.7% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Allies | 2.7% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 38.9% | -17.7 |
| Water Umbra Guardian | 2.7% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Slice & Dice | 2.7% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 55.6% | +9.0 |
| Fire Aetherwing | 1.4% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 40.9% | -14.5 |
| Fire Aggro | 1.4% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Exia | 1.4% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Seiryuu | 1.4% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 40.1% | -15.8 |
| Fire Umbra Alice | 1.4% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 46.1% | -6.3 |
| Fire Umbra Ciel | 1.4% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Horse and Taxes | 1.4% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 41.1% | -14.3 |
| Water Astra Cleric | 1.4% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Astra Diana | 1.4% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Astra Ranger | 1.4% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 59.9% | +15.9 |
| Water Chess | 1.4% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Genbu | 1.4% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 44.3% | -9.2 |
| Water Zander | 1.4% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Arcane | 1.4% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Ciel | 1.4% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Razorgale | 1.4% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Wakeup Combo | 1.4% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
